UK Snow Forecast

Guidance: Aberdeen GEFS diagram

(courtesy of www.meteociel.fr)

Probability of snow: Met Office Criteria

Th(1000-500) < 5258 gpm for 50% snow probability

Th(1000-500) < 5180 gpm for 90% snow probability

Th(1000-850) < 1293 gpm for 50% snow probability

Th(1000-850) < 1281 gpm for 90% snow probability

SLP, 850 hPa, 500 hPa Temperatures & WBFL (GFS)

Ideally T850 < -7 C

Ideally T500 < -27 C

WBFL < 300 m: Snow

300 m < WBFL < 600m : Rain turning to snow

600 m < WBFL < 1000 m: Mostly rain

Soundings
Low Level Triggers & Upper Forcings
Rain/Snow Fall
Snow Accumulation